
DEMOCRATS PRICED TO SWEEP MIDTERMS AT 72%
Two days out from the 2026 midterms, Polymarket's "Balance of Power" market prices a full Democratic sweep of Congress at 72%, against just 23% for Republicans holding the Senate while Democrats take the House. A full Republican sweep sits at only 5%. Treasury traders ($TLT) are pricing unified government, not gridlock, as the base case heading into the November 3 vote, with implications for the next fiscal and spending fights.