POLLS SHOW TIE, BETTORS SEE BRAZIL LANDSLIDE

Brazil's presidential runoff lands Sunday with Datafolha's final poll putting Flávio Bolsonaro at 51% and Lula at 49%, a result the pollster calls a technical tie within the margin of error. Betting markets disagree sharply: Polymarket prices Bolsonaro's odds at 79% against Lula's 22%, the widest gap of the campaign. The divergence follows a rally in Brazil's real since the first round, as traders position for a market-friendlier government. $EWZ, the main US-listed Brazil equity fund, has tracked that shift closely.